UK Business Confidence Rebounds from Two-Year Low

31 March 2016


Lloyds Bank’s Business Barometer for March 2016 shows:

  • UK business confidence has rebounded to 43% from last month’s two-year low
  • The net balance of firms indicating an improvement in economic prospects reached a three-month high of nearly 40%
  • Almost 40% of companies expect to increase their staff levels in the coming year

UK business confidence levels increased by 15 points to 43% in the past month according to the latest Business Barometer from Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking.

The net balance of firms reporting an improvement in economic prospects increased by 24 points from February, resulting in a three-month high of nearly 40%. Companies reporting an improvement in trading prospects also increased to over 45%.

A strong rise in confidence was reported in both the consumer services and business & other services sectors. However a reversal of recent trends in the industrial sector saw confidence in this area fall by 13 points.

Firms all across all the regions reported sizable increases in business sentiment for the month with the  Midlands showing the largest improvement of 25 points to 36%, followed by the  North (15 points to 50%) and the South (10 points to 43%). In all cases, these gains pushed their net balances to well above their respective historical averages.  

Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist for Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, commented: “As concerns about economic risks declined this month we saw business confidence return to levels seen at the turn of the year. Encouragingly, our results for the quarter suggest that the UK economy may have expanded by 0.4-0.5% since the start of of 2016, similar to the average pace of growth in the second half of last year”.